Let's face it: if you're not predicting Fiennas, then Timothee is NOT happening.

I consider Brody locked rn. But there are people who are still rooting for Timmy, and they had this argument as a potential winning path:

1.Timmy snabs SAG>> wins Oscar, yeah!

However, both Fiennes and Timmy has yet to win any major precursors. If the path with Timmy stands, same should happen to Fiennes.

2.Fiennes snabs BAFTA>> wins Oscar, yeah!!

The probability of Fiennas winning BAFTA is actually on par/or higher than Timmy winning SAG.

I see almost zero people thinking Fiennes can still win Oscar, so let's face it: if you're not predicting Fiennes, then Timothee is NOT happening.