I conducted a district-based analysis of all GRCs with significant changes , and the results shows improvements for PAP
I read through the EBRC report and did a simple proportionate analysis
Some assumptions made are that each district voted equally in the previous election since data wasn’t made available
For example East Coast GRC will now consist of East Coast and Marine Parade GRC
But the breakdown of population is 110,016 for EC and 40,675 for MP in the New East Coast. This data can be found in the report.
On a proportionate basis , it will be as such :
EC :73% MP :27%
Based on 2020
EC result was 53.39 and MP was 57.74
So 0.73 X 53.39 + 0.27 X 57.74 =54.565
So hmmm
I read through the EBRC report and did a simple proportionate analysis
Some assumptions made are that each district voted equally in the previous election since data wasn’t made available
For example East Coast GRC will now consist of East Coast and Marine Parade GRC
But the breakdown of population is 110,016 for EC and 40,675 for MP in the New East Coast. This data can be found in the report.
On a proportionate basis , it will be as such :
EC :73% MP :27%
Based on 2020
EC result was 53.39 and MP was 57.74
So 0.73 X 53.39 + 0.27 X 57.74 =54.565
So hmmm